KDPResearch
Metrics

US Congress Crypto

Classifies the crypto stance of 448 winners of the 2026 US midterm (House and Senate) from key bill votes, the Stand With Crypto grade and their own statements.
Winners are Decision Desk HQ race calls, before state certification.

Policy · House · Senate · Snapshot · Updated 2026-11-08

Races calledCalled
448/470of all seats · 22 not called
House bullishHouse bullish
52%216 of 415 · default basis
Senate bullishSenate bullish
64%21 of 33 · default basis
New members bullishNew bullish
55%66 of 121 · 46 without evidence

Seat map

AK · Not calledMS · Not calledSenators21/33Bullish 64%AK-AL · Not calledAZ-2 · Not calledCA-4 · Not calledCA-7 · Not calledCA-23 · Not calledCA-40 · Not calledCO-4 · Not calledFL-9 · Not calledFL-27 · Not calledLA-5 · RunoffLA-6 · RunoffME-2 · Not calledMN-1 · Not calledNC-3 · Not calledNC-5 · Not calledNC-7 · Not calledNY-1 · Not calledNY-2 · Not calledTN-4 · Not calledWA-5 · Not calledRepresentatives216/415Bullish 52%

Senate, 35 seats

Bullish
2164%
Neutral or mixed
39%
Bearish
721%
No evidence
2
Not called
2

House, 435 seats

Bullish
21652%
Neutral or mixed
4411%
Bearish
10926%
No evidence
46
Not called
20

By votes: the share of seven crypto bill votes cast on the industry side. Members without votes get the grade of the industry group Stand With Crypto. Colours follow the basis · select a seat for details

Key crypto votes

VoteIndustry viewDateVote resultScored
Resolution voiding SEC guidance (SAB 121) that made crypto custodians book client assets as liabilitiesHouse · 118-hjres109 · roll 189 · Passed both chambers · vetoedBacks passage2024-05-08Passedlater vetoedYes
Resolution voiding SEC guidance (SAB 121) that made crypto custodians book client assets as liabilitiesSenate · 118-hjres109 · roll 169 · Passed both chambers · vetoedBacks passage2024-05-16Passedlater vetoedYes
Market structure bill splitting digital assets between the CFTC (commodities) and SEC (securities)House · 118-hr4763 · roll 226 · Passed House · not taken up by SenateBacks passage2024-05-22PassedYes
Law setting licensing and 1:1 reserve rules for payment stablecoinsSenate · 119-s1582 · roll 318 · Became law (2025-07-18)Backs passage2025-06-17PassedYes
Law setting licensing and 1:1 reserve rules for payment stablecoinsHouse · 119-s1582 · roll 200 · Became law (2025-07-18)Backs passage2025-07-17PassedYes
Market structure bill putting digital commodity exchanges and brokers under the CFTCHouse · 119-hr3633 · roll 199 · Passed House · Senate cloture failedBacks passage2025-07-17PassedYes
Bill barring the Fed from issuing a retail CBDCHouse · 119-hr1919 · roll 201 · Passed House · not lawBacks indirectly2025-07-17PassedYes
Procedural vote on whether the Senate takes up CLARITYSenate · 119-hr3633 · roll 234 · Failed 49–50 · not scoredBacks passage2026-09-15FailedNo, procedural vote

7 of 8 crypto floor votes count toward the class. The 2026-09-15 Senate CLARITY vote was a procedural vote on whether to start debate, not on the bill, so it is left out. Click a row for what the bill does.

Key House committees

Financial Services 34

Bullish
1750%
Neutral or mixed
39%
Bearish
1441%

Agriculture 36

Bullish
2364%
Neutral or mixed
514%
Bearish
822%

Winners

WinnerSeatPartyClassBasisSWC
NewALRepublicanBullishVotesA
NewAL-1RepublicanBullishVotesA
AL-2DemocratBullishVotesA
AL-3RepublicanBullishVotesA
AL-4RepublicanBullishVotesA
AL-5RepublicanBullishVotesA
AL-6RepublicanBullishVotesA
AL-7DemocratNeutral or mixedVotesA
ARRepublicanBullishVotesA
AR-1RepublicanBullishVotesA
Method and sources

ScopeThe 435 House seats and the 35 Senate seats up on 2026-11-03 (33 regular, plus Florida and Ohio specials). Governors and Senate seats not up this year are out.

WinnersDecision Desk HQ race calls as published by Stand With Crypto, not checked against state certification. Uncalled seats stay uncalled. NC-8, NC-10 and FL-7 were still counting as of 2026-11-08 13:00 UTC, but the leader’s margin clearly exceeds the remaining ballots, so the leader is shown as the winner (sources in each winner’s card).

ClassMembers who voted the industry side (yea on each bill) in at least 2/3 of the seven scored votes are bullish, at most 1/3 bearish, otherwise neutral or mixed. Absences are left out. Without votes, the SWC grade is used. With neither, the member’s own crypto statements and state-office actions decide; with none of these, there is no evidence. Neutral or mixed means split votes or an SWC C, which is not the same as no evidence.

BasesThe vote basis is the default. Without the CBDC vote drops only the near party-line Anti-CBDC vote. The industry grade basis ignores votes and uses the SWC grade alone. The 2026-09-15 Senate CLARITY vote was a procedural vote on starting debate and is in no basis. Party, district and PAC support are not used.

SWC gradeThe industry group Stand With Crypto’s rating: 90+ A, 70+ B, 50+ C, 25+ D, below that F. A–B count as bullish, C neutral, D–F bearish.

Statements“Crypto statements and bills” in each card lists what Stand With Crypto collected, in the original words. “Researched statements and actions” were found separately on 2026-11-08–09 from office press releases, the Congressional Record, bill records, X posts, campaign platforms and state legislature votes, with every link opened and checked: 606 items for 348 members so far. Where there are votes or an SWC grade, the class stays even if statements point the other way.

PACProvisional totals of the 24/48-hour FEC independent expenditure reports of three super PACs: Fairshake, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress (as of 2026-11-07). Not money given to the candidate, and may differ from full periodic filings. No record does not mean $0.

NewNot a sitting member of that chamber, including House members moving to the Senate and returning former members.

CommitteesThe House Financial Services and Agriculture lists are 119th Congress members who won again. 120th Congress assignments are not out yet.

Still to checkState certification, uncalled seats, more research on the 52 members with no evidence yet, periodic PAC filings, 120th Congress committee assignments.

Sources